When predicting enemy Courses of Action (COA) we were always supposed to look for what's most likely and most dangerous COAs. It helps to make sure you're ready in case the worst actually does happen.
I don't know nearly enough about Russia to say whether this prediction is true, but in terms of a 'most dangerous COA' it seems worth considering. Even if nothing of note happens, what could happen and do we have any countermeasures in place?
Check out @J_amesp’s Tweet: https://twitter.com/J_amesp/status/1094840317277282309?s=09
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