“.. Fear is often described as False Evidence Appearing Real.”
― Nick Vujicic, Life Without Limits
Saw this on Facebook yesterday, and it fits what I've been thinking about all too well. First, though, I wanted to explain why I'm writing about something that happened before I was even born.
Right now there's all sorts of issues going on - Syria, ISIS, Russia, China - and making the right decisions is crucial. I don't want to say that the decisions I'm about to discuss have direct parallels. The situations are different. Russia is not quite the same as the Soviet Union, our relationships with China are different, etc.
What I hope to do, more than anything, is get people thinking more about what signs will prove or disprove any particular belief about the current situation. It's like prepping a battlefield - if you know the enemy has to take one of three different paths (barring trickery or creativity you aren't prepared for) then you'll want to know which one they're taking. You can't make assumptions, or your defenses will be set up all wrong and you'll be vulnerable to the side you weren't expecting. So you figure out what will let you know that they've chosen a particular route. Maybe sensors far enough away to give you time, but close enough that they won't trigger unless the enemy is committed to that route. And you have to watch all three routes, not just the one you think is most likely.
So, whether Vietnam or our current mess, the question becomes "what indicators tell us what the enemy is doing?"
Or to add another cliche:
Hope for the best, plan for the worst...
But don't assume the worst.
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